Understand the problem in 60 seconds
Watch the explainer below to see why congestion costs show up on your electric bill — and what we can do about it.
A 60-second explainer on why congestion costs show up on your electric bill
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
About the Affordable Grid Coalition
The Affordable Grid Coalition is a cross-sector alliance of energy market participants, consumer advocates, renewable developers, and state officials united by a simple principle: consumers deserve congestion credit tools that reflect today's grid — not yesterday's.
The coalition was founded in 2025 by energy market professionals and consumer advocates who spent over a decade documenting the congestion hedging gap across U.S. wholesale electricity markets. Our quantitative analysis covers PJM, MISO, SPP, and NYISO to date, with CAISO analysis underway. All figures are grounded in publicly available settlement data, validated against Independent Market Monitor findings.
Data & analysis provided by XO Energy, LLC — an energy trading and analytics firm specializing in congestion revenue rights across PJM, MISO, SPP, and ERCOT. Full disclosure: XO Energy actively trades congestion products and would participate in — and expects to benefit from — the market these complaints would create, as would utilities, cooperatives, and other market participants. We disclose that alignment plainly because the case stands on public settlement data anyone can verify. Contact: info@xo-energy.com
We are inviting state utility commissions, consumer advocacy organizations, renewable energy developers, municipal and cooperative utilities, and market participants to join. Founding supporters will be named in the September 2026 filings — because consumers deserve the same congestion protections Texas ratepayers already have.
Follow the money trail from the power grid to your monthly bill
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
The math is simple: utilities currently return $20.1 billion through existing congestion credits to offset $30.8 billion in charges. The difference — $10.7 billion — is paid directly by consumers, an average gap of $1.3 billion per year. Additional credits exist to help offset increasingly large congestion charges, however no products exist to capture them.
Think About It Like Your Commute
Paper Map vs. GPS
Today's system is like planning a road trip with a paper map months or years in advance. You pick your route, lock it in, and hope for the best. But you couldn't possibly see the traffic jam occurring today. An RT Congestion Hedge is like upgrading to GPS with live traffic data — it manages what's actually happening on the grid right now, not what was predicted a year ago.
How This Saves Consumers Money
More Credits Return to Consumers
The RT Congestion Hedge generates additional congestion credits that flow back to consumers through existing cost-recovery mechanisms. Today, ARR credits return only 65% of total congestion charges. An RT Congestion Hedge captures value that current tools miss — growing the total credit pool and narrowing the $10.7 billion gap.
Existing Credits Become More Valuable
When market participants can hedge real-time congestion, competition returns more of the currently uncaptured value to the auctions that fund consumer credits — without any changes to the current allocation process. Independent studies (London Economics International) document consumer benefits from active congestion-market participation.
Renewable Congestion Costs Come Down
Renewable energy is the fastest-growing driver of congestion charges — $6.5 billion since 2023 across PJM, MISO, and SPP. This congestion is largely unhedged because ARR allocations are built on legacy paths that predate today's renewable fleet. With an RT Congestion Hedge, these costs can be managed and credited back to consumers.
Growing Load, Growing Costs
Data centers and electrification are driving unprecedented load growth. More load means more congestion, and more congestion means higher charges for everyone. An RT Congestion Hedge ensures these costs can be actively managed rather than passed through to all consumers.
Why are bills going up but nothing's changing?
Utilities recover congestion costs through state-regulated mechanisms — charges flow directly to consumers. Because utilities are made whole through this process, the incentives that would typically drive action — increasing costs and higher bills — don't apply. That's why federal action through FERC is needed to bring an RT Congestion Hedge to market, and why consumer support matters.
Your voice matters in this fight.
Join thousands of consumers, advocates, and regulators demanding that FERC bring real-time congestion hedging tools to every U.S. electricity market.
The Congestion Problem
The data from ISO State of Market reports and ARR credit analysis — market by market, dollar by dollar. Here's what consumers are paying and what's being left on the table.
The Evidence Is Overwhelming
Congestion Credits by the Numbers
Credit tiers: XO Energy ARR credit analysis, planning years 2018-19 through 2025-26 (complete). Charges: ISO State of Market reports, calendar years 2018–2025. Maximum Available Value is a ceiling — the most an optimal hedge could capture, not a damages figure.
A walkthrough of total congestion charges and credit performance across PJM, MISO, and SPP
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
This Problem Is Accelerating — Renewables Are the Driver
The ISOs' own Independent Market Monitors and FERC's infrastructure data tell the same story: renewable generation is the fastest-growing source of congestion, and the existing credit framework wasn't designed for it. As the generation mix continues to shift, these patterns will only intensify — and without real-time hedging tools, consumers absorb the growing cost.
MISO — Potomac Economics (IMM)
2025 State of the MarketWind accounted for roughly 36% of MISO's real-time congestion in 2025, with wind-driven congestion up 9% year over year. On high-wind days, two-hour-ahead renewable forecast errors averaged about 1,400 MW — exceeding 5,200 MW at the extreme — widening the gap between day-ahead and real-time prices. This forecast divergence is exactly what an RT Congestion Hedge addresses.
Source: Potomac Economics, 2025 MISO State of the Market Report (June 2026).
SPP — Market Monitoring Unit
2025 State of the MarketWind provided 37% of total SPP generation in 2025. Wind curtailments averaged 1,382 MW/hr — a tenfold increase from 137 MW/hr in 2019 — and the MMU notes shifting congestion patterns, not less wind, drove the modest decline from 2024. Congestion drove 92% of all price variation in 2024, the highest since the market launched in 2014. The MMU continues to describe the dominant congestion pattern as running along the boundary between renewable generation and load.
Source: SPP MMU, 2025 State of the Market Report; price-variation statistic from the 2024 edition.
FERC — Renewable Capacity Pipeline
2025 Energy Infrastructure UpdateRenewables accounted for 88% of all new generating capacity added in 2025. Solar alone was over 72% of new additions — leading for 28 consecutive months. The 2026–2028 pipeline projects 35 GW/year of new wind and solar. Every megawatt of new renewable capacity creates congestion at nodes the existing ARR framework doesn't cover.
Source: FERC Energy Infrastructure Update, 2025 full year (April 2026).
This Problem Has Been Documented for Over a Decade
Independent market monitors, state commissions, and academic experts have identified this gap — and proposed solutions — since 2012. MISO's IMM has recommended a virtual spread product in fourteen consecutive State of the Market reports. SPP approved a product (SIR34) through its stakeholder process but implementation stalled. PJM once had a functioning product — Up-To Congestion transactions — that has since been scaled back dramatically through limited trading nodes and fees which create a significant hurdle rate.
How PJM's real-time congestion product was scaled back — and what it cost consumers
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
A Proven Solution
This isn't theoretical. One U.S. market already does this — and it works. We're asking FERC to bring that same protection to every electricity consumer in America.
Texas proves the two-layer congestion hedging model works — we're asking FERC to bring it everywhere
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
Why It Works
DA-RT Convergence
When participants can trade the DA-RT spread, it incentivizes better price formation in both markets — and better-formed prices support fuller funding of the existing ARR and FTR credits, even without changing the ARR framework itself. The dollar case on this site rests on the settled tiers; the price-formation benefit comes on top.
Renewable Congestion Management
$6.5B in renewable RT congestion since 2023 — and no adequately designed product exists to manage it. Wind and solar generators underbid in DA due to forecast uncertainty, creating RT congestion that legacy ARR paths can't cover. An RT Congestion Hedge at full nodal granularity gives the market the first tool to manage this growing exposure.
Proven in ERCOT
Texas already operates this model. ERCOT's Point-to-Point Obligation product settles at full nodal granularity in real-time, is open to all market participants, supports legitimate hedging across all market sectors, and has a fee structure that incentivizes convergence.
What We're Asking FERC To Do
Existing congestion revenue crediting mechanisms are unjust and unreasonable because they systematically fail to return real-time congestion value to the consumers who fund the transmission grid. The Affordable Grid Coalition is filing Section 206 complaints at FERC against each ISO/RTO to direct implementation of an RT congestion settlement tier — formally, the Day-Ahead Transmission Right ("DATR"): an instrument bid in the day-ahead market that settles against real-time congestion, modeled on ERCOT's proven design.
Real-Time Settlement
Products that settle against actual congestion — not just day-ahead forecasts.
Nodal-Level Access
Hedging at all nodes available in the prompt-month auctions — so utilities, generators, and large loads can manage their actual congestion exposure.
Open Access
Supporting legitimate hedging and convergence activity across all market sectors. Competition increases efficiency.
Fee Structure That Works
A fee structure that incentivizes convergence and supports active participation — modeled on ERCOT's proven design.
Market Integrity
Rules that protect market integrity while preserving the product's ability to deliver consumer benefits.
FERC Section 206
Directing ISOs to implement real-time congestion hedging tools through FERC's existing authority under the Federal Power Act.
Markets Affected
Lead filings in September 2026 against PJM, MISO, and SPP. The NYISO follow-on complaint is drafted; CAISO follows once data analysis is complete.
Who's Affected
This issue touches every corner of the electricity system. Select your role below to see how the congestion hedging gap affects you.
You're paying billions for a problem that has a proven fix.
Every time electricity gets congested on the transmission grid, the extra cost shows up in your electric bill. Today, there's no tool to manage the gap between forecast and reality. That gap left up to $31.9 billion in congestion credits unrealized across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years — including at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value no election available today can reach — and New York's numbers are now in too, with another $4.0 billion unrealized there — beyond the reach of any TCC election.
Think of it this way: imagine if your car insurance only covered accidents predicted the night before. Any accident they didn't forecast? That's on you. That's how electricity congestion works today.
The solution already works in Texas, whose congestion-hedge market has run near-fully funded for years. We're asking for the same protection in every U.S. electricity market.
The largest hidden cost on consumer electric bills.
Congestion costs are embedded in every retail electric bill through automatic cost-recovery riders. Utilities have zero financial exposure. The cost of not having real-time hedging: at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value beyond today's credits across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years — plus $4.0 billion unrealized in NYISO, with CAISO analysis underway. When measured against what optimal real-time hedging tools could have captured, the total value left on the table reaches $31.9 billion.
We are filing Section 206 complaints at FERC. Consumer advocates can amplify this by filing supporting comments, issuing public statements, and educating state regulators about how these hidden costs affect their communities.
Your ratepayers are absorbing billions in unhedged congestion.
Every state provides utilities with automatic cost-tracking riders that guarantee full recovery of wholesale market charges. OPSI's Resolution FTR-2016-4 found only 45% of PJM congestion was returned to consumers — a $983 million shortfall in one year.
The utilities subject to your oversight bear zero financial risk from congestion. State commissions can take action by filing comments supporting the Section 206 complaints, examining whether cost-tracking riders should credit customers for hedging savings, and directing utilities to report on congestion cost exposure.
Consumers are paying billions with no recourse or transparency.
Electricity congestion charges are buried in complex wholesale settlements and passed to retail customers via automatic mechanisms. No consumer-facing disclosure, no opt-out, no recourse. The cost of not having real-time hedging tools reaches at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years (plus $4.0 billion unrealized in NYISO; CAISO forthcoming), with up to $31.9 billion in total value left on the table.
AGs can support consumer protection by investigating whether utilities meet prudent cost management obligations, filing amicus briefs at FERC, and advocating for transparency in how congestion costs are passed through.
Incomplete congestion hedging tools limit competition and raise costs.
Organizations like EPSA and EEI represent companies directly affected by the absence of RT congestion hedging. MISO's IMM has recommended a spread product since 2012 — fourteen consecutive years. SPP approved one but implementation stalled. PJM's UTC has been scaled back significantly. NYISO and CAISO proposals were abandoned.
An RT Congestion Hedge benefits all market sectors — financial and physical participants alike. Trade organizations can support by endorsing the Section 206 filings, mobilizing members to file FERC comments, and educating policymakers on the consumer and market efficiency benefits.
Your constituents bear the cost — but have limited voice in the process.
State advocates participate in ISO governance through OPSI, OMS, and the RSC. These bodies have identified congestion hedging shortfalls as priorities — OPSI documented $1.5B over two years; SPP's RSC flagged 83% TCR funding vs 90% target.
Despite these documented concerns, implementation has not followed. State representatives can reaffirm prior resolutions, file coordinated FERC comments supporting the Section 206 complaints, and engage ISO management on prioritizing real-time congestion hedging tools.
A decade of documented recommendations without implementation.
Independent Market Monitors have recommended RT congestion hedging products for over a decade. MISO's IMM has recommended a spread product since 2012 — fourteen consecutive years. SPP approved one through its stakeholder process but implementation stalled. PJM's UTC product has been scaled back dramatically through limited trading nodes and fees which create a significant hurdle rate. NYISO and CAISO proposals were abandoned.
ISO State of Market reports document $30.8B in congestion charges against $20.1B in credits returned. The RT value alone — $8.2B beyond current tools — represents documented consumer harm. ERCOT demonstrates the remedy works. The Commission has authority under Section 206 to direct implementation and be prescriptive about settlement, fees, and market rules.
$6.5 billion in largely unhedged RT congestion since 2023 — and growing.
Since January 2023, renewable generators have faced over $6.5 billion in real-time congestion across SPP, MISO, and PJM. This exposure is largely unhedged because legacy ARR paths don't cover these sources. The problem varies dramatically by region and fuel type.
In SPP, wind is the story: Oklahoma wind generators alone face $2.5 billion in RT congestion at ~$18/MWh. SPP does allocate ARRs to wind sources, but only on a fractional portion of output — the credit offset pales in comparison to the actual exposure.
In MISO, wind drives $2.0 billion in RT congestion across Minnesota, Iowa, and the Dakotas, with rates ranging from $5–12/MWh depending on transmission access.
In PJM, solar is the growing story: the Virginia/North Carolina buildout faces $13–17/MWh in RT congestion. As interconnection queues add tens of GW of new solar, this exposure will compound.
An RT Congestion Hedge at full nodal granularity would give renewable developers the ability to manage actual exposure for the first time — improving project economics, reducing financing costs, and supporting the clean energy transition.
The world's largest data center market can't hedge its congestion.
Northern Virginia hosts the world's largest data center concentration — and these facilities can't hedge nodal congestion under current rules. PJM's legacy tools are restricted to aggregated load zones.
As AI and cloud computing drive unprecedented load growth, real-time congestion hedging with full nodal settlement would let data centers manage their actual costs instead of socializing them across all ratepayers in their zone.
Your members deserve the same protections available in Texas.
Unlike IOUs, munis and coops don't have automatic cost-recovery mechanisms. Congestion cost spikes hit your balance sheet and customers directly. ERCOT's municipal and cooperative participants already benefit from these tools.
Munis and coops can support by signing the coalition letter, filing FERC comments describing community impact, and engaging state representatives at ISO governance bodies.
See What Your State Could Gain
Congestion credits aren't abstract — they flow (or fail to flow) to consumers state by state. Select your state to see how much more a real-time congestion hedge could return to your consumers, and download a customized brief with charts, data, and recommended actions for your state commission.
The Section 206 Complaint Is Filing in September 2026. Add Your Voice.
We are filing formal complaints at FERC asking that PJM, MISO, SPP, NYISO, and CAISO implement real-time congestion hedging tools. State commissions, consumer advocates, and market participants can sign on as co-complainants or supporting parties. Sign-on is open now ahead of the September 2026 filing.
30 seconds on why your voice matters — sign onto the Section 206 complaint today
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
State PUC commissioners oversee the utilities that pass congestion costs to you. Attorneys General can investigate consumer protection failures. Both can file supporting comments at FERC. Use the lookup tools below to find your state contacts.
How the Federal Power Act gives you the right to challenge broken electricity market rules at FERC
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
Five concrete actions PUC commissioners and Attorneys General can take right now
These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.
Glossary of Terms
Plain-language definitions of the energy market terms used throughout this site.
When too much electricity tries to flow through a bottleneck on the transmission grid, prices increase at that location. The extra cost is called congestion. Think of it like a toll that increases during rush hour.
A financial credit allocated to utilities based on their historical use of the transmission grid. ARRs give utilities the revenue from FTR auctions, which partially offsets congestion costs. Think of it as a rebate check based on last year's toll road usage.
A financial contract that pays the holder based on the difference in day-ahead electricity prices between two points on the grid. Utilities can convert their ARRs into FTRs to potentially earn more, but they take on risk.
When a utility converts its free ARR allocation into an FTR. Instead of receiving the auction clearing price, the utility receives the day-ahead congestion value — which may be higher or lower.
The electricity market that runs one day before real-time delivery. Generators and utilities submit bids and offers, and prices are set for each hour of the next day. It's like booking a hotel room in advance.
The electricity market that runs in real-time (every 5 minutes). Prices reflect actual grid conditions. It's like the walk-in rate at a hotel — often different from what you booked.
The higher of the day-ahead or real-time congestion value for each hour. This represents what a perfect hedging tool would capture — always picking the best price. It's the theoretical maximum, and always a ceiling — never a damages figure. (Earlier materials called this Lost Opportunity Cost, or LOC.)
A product that allows market participants to manage the difference between day-ahead and real-time congestion. The Coalition's FERC complaints formally title it the Day-Ahead Transmission Right (DATR): bid in the day-ahead market, settled against real-time congestion. Different markets have used different names: Point-to-Point Obligation (ERCOT), Up-To Congestion/UTC (PJM), Spread Bid (MISO proposal), RT Congestion Hedge (SPP proposal), and Linked Virtual Transaction/LVT (NYISO proposal). ERCOT's version is the only one fully operational today.
The price at which a congestion instrument pays out. Today's credits settle at either the auction clearing price (the default) or day-ahead congestion prices (if converted to an FTR). No tier settles at real-time prices in PJM, MISO, SPP, or NYISO — that missing third tier is what the Coalition's complaints ask FERC to create.
A specific location on the grid where prices are calculated — a generator, substation, or delivery point. There are thousands of nodes in each market. 'Nodal granularity' means being able to hedge congestion at the specific locations where it actually occurs, rather than only at broad zone averages.
A state-regulated mechanism that allows utilities to pass through fuel and purchased power costs (including congestion charges) to ratepayers, usually without a full rate case. Different states call it different things: FAC, PSCR, FCA, EAC, Rider HSS.
A legal mechanism under the Federal Power Act that allows any party to ask FERC to investigate whether existing rates, charges, or practices are unjust, unreasonable, or unduly discriminatory. Our complaint: existing congestion revenue crediting mechanisms systematically fail to return real-time congestion value to the consumers who fund the transmission grid. If FERC agrees, the ISO must implement a remedy.
The entity that operates the electric grid and runs the wholesale electricity market for a region. PJM, MISO, SPP, ERCOT, NYISO, and CAISO are the major U.S. ISOs.
A third-party watchdog appointed to monitor each ISO's markets for fairness and efficiency. The IMM publishes annual State of the Market reports with findings and recommendations.
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about the coalition, the complaint, and real-time congestion hedging.