Consumer Affordability Initiative

Billions in
Hidden Electricity Costs.
You're paying for it.

Across America's electricity markets, an incomplete system lets billions in unhedged congestion costs flow directly to your electric bill. Driven by renewable energy growth, congestion charges are increasing and the tools to manage them were designed for a different grid. There's a proven fix. We're fighting to implement it.

$30.8B
Total congestion charges across PJM, MISO & SPP since 2018. $15.0B in the last 3 years alone (ISO State of Market reports).
$10.7B
Never returned to consumers — for every congestion dollar paid, today's Auction Revenue Rights credits give back about 65 cents (planning-year credits vs calendar-year charges).
$6.5B
Renewable RT congestion since 2023 (wind + solar, all three markets) — the fastest-growing driver of the gap. ARR paths are limited and no adequately designed product exists to manage this.
$31.9B
In additional credits an RT Congestion Hedge could unlock across PJM, MISO & SPP — nearly $36B including New York — vs the $20.1B today's credits provide.
See where your state ranks →

Understand the problem in 60 seconds

Watch the explainer below to see why congestion costs show up on your electric bill — and what we can do about it.

A 60-second explainer on why congestion costs show up on your electric bill

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

About the Affordable Grid Coalition

The Affordable Grid Coalition is a cross-sector alliance of energy market participants, consumer advocates, renewable developers, and state officials united by a simple principle: consumers deserve congestion credit tools that reflect today's grid — not yesterday's.

The coalition was founded in 2025 by energy market professionals and consumer advocates who spent over a decade documenting the congestion hedging gap across U.S. wholesale electricity markets. Our quantitative analysis covers PJM, MISO, SPP, and NYISO to date, with CAISO analysis underway. All figures are grounded in publicly available settlement data, validated against Independent Market Monitor findings.

Data & analysis provided by XO Energy, LLC — an energy trading and analytics firm specializing in congestion revenue rights across PJM, MISO, SPP, and ERCOT. Full disclosure: XO Energy actively trades congestion products and would participate in — and expects to benefit from — the market these complaints would create, as would utilities, cooperatives, and other market participants. We disclose that alignment plainly because the case stands on public settlement data anyone can verify. Contact: info@xo-energy.com

We are inviting state utility commissions, consumer advocacy organizations, renewable energy developers, municipal and cooperative utilities, and market participants to join. Founding supporters will be named in the September 2026 filings — because consumers deserve the same congestion protections Texas ratepayers already have.

Consumer Benefits

How This Saves You Money

You pay for every dollar of electricity congestion. Right now, billions of those dollars are unmanaged. Here's how a real-time congestion hedge puts money back in your pocket.

Follow the money trail from the power grid to your monthly bill

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

The Numbers Don't Lie

The math is simple: utilities currently return $20.1 billion through existing congestion credits to offset $30.8 billion in charges. The difference — $10.7 billion — is paid directly by consumers, an average gap of $1.3 billion per year. Additional credits exist to help offset increasingly large congestion charges, however no products exist to capture them.

The Simple Version

Today

Your electric bill includes congestion charges — the cost of moving power through a constrained grid. To offset these charges, credits are allocated through a year-ahead process based on legacy transmission paths. But the grid has changed. Renewable growth, shifting load patterns, and real-time conditions look nothing like what was planned a year ago. The result: credits cover only 65% of actual congestion charges. The rest — $10.7 billion since 2018 — lands on your bill.

With RT Congestion Hedge

An RT Congestion Hedge allows market participants to manage the congestion that's occurring right now — not what was planned a year ago. This active management increases the total credits flowing back to consumers and improves the value of existing ARR and FTR credits. More credits, lower bills — all through the same cost-recovery process already in place.

Think About It Like Your Commute

🗺️

Paper Map vs. GPS

Today's system is like planning a road trip with a paper map months or years in advance. You pick your route, lock it in, and hope for the best. But you couldn't possibly see the traffic jam occurring today. An RT Congestion Hedge is like upgrading to GPS with live traffic data — it manages what's actually happening on the grid right now, not what was predicted a year ago.

How This Saves Consumers Money

💰

More Credits Return to Consumers

The RT Congestion Hedge generates additional congestion credits that flow back to consumers through existing cost-recovery mechanisms. Today, ARR credits return only 65% of total congestion charges. An RT Congestion Hedge captures value that current tools miss — growing the total credit pool and narrowing the $10.7 billion gap.

📈

Existing Credits Become More Valuable

When market participants can hedge real-time congestion, competition returns more of the currently uncaptured value to the auctions that fund consumer credits — without any changes to the current allocation process. Independent studies (London Economics International) document consumer benefits from active congestion-market participation.

🌱

Renewable Congestion Costs Come Down

Renewable energy is the fastest-growing driver of congestion charges — $6.5 billion since 2023 across PJM, MISO, and SPP. This congestion is largely unhedged because ARR allocations are built on legacy paths that predate today's renewable fleet. With an RT Congestion Hedge, these costs can be managed and credited back to consumers.

🏢

Growing Load, Growing Costs

Data centers and electrification are driving unprecedented load growth. More load means more congestion, and more congestion means higher charges for everyone. An RT Congestion Hedge ensures these costs can be actively managed rather than passed through to all consumers.

Why are bills going up but nothing's changing?

Utilities recover congestion costs through state-regulated mechanisms — charges flow directly to consumers. Because utilities are made whole through this process, the incentives that would typically drive action — increasing costs and higher bills — don't apply. That's why federal action through FERC is needed to bring an RT Congestion Hedge to market, and why consumer support matters.

It Already Works in Texas

ERCOT's Point-to-Point Obligation product lets participants manage real-time congestion at every node on the grid, every day. It's been running for years with proven results:

Full
Congestion revenue consistently returned to consumers
Full Nodal
Available at all resources including renewables — wind, solar, and batteries
Open
Available to all participants, increasing competition

Your voice matters in this fight.

Join thousands of consumers, advocates, and regulators demanding that FERC bring real-time congestion hedging tools to every U.S. electricity market.

The Congestion Problem

The data from ISO State of Market reports and ARR credit analysis — market by market, dollar by dollar. Here's what consumers are paying and what's being left on the table.

The Evidence Is Overwhelming

Congestion Credits by the Numbers

$30.8B
Total congestion charges across PJM, MISO & SPP since 2018 (ISO State of Market reports)
$20.1B
ARR auction credits returned to consumers — $1.34/MWh (65% of charges)
$24.1B
If all utilities self-scheduled FTRs to capture DA value — $1.60/MWh (78% of charges)
$28.2B
RT settlement value — $1.88/MWh (92% of charges). No adequately designed product reaches this tier today.
$52.0B
Maximum Available Value: higher of DA or RT each hour — $3.46/MWh. The ceiling an RT Congestion Hedge achieves.
$31.9B
Additional credits beyond today's ARR auctions — the value an RT Congestion Hedge unlocks.

Credit tiers: XO Energy ARR credit analysis, planning years 2018-19 through 2025-26 (complete). Charges: ISO State of Market reports, calendar years 2018–2025. Maximum Available Value is a ceiling — the most an optimal hedge could capture, not a damages figure.

A walkthrough of total congestion charges and credit performance across PJM, MISO, and SPP

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

Market Deep Dive

Each market has different credit dynamics — but the pattern is the same: current tools leave significant value on the table, and an RT Congestion Hedge closes the gap.

Issue 1: Credit Gap

How much congestion is charged vs. how much is returned through existing credit tools.

Congestion Charges
$11.9B
2025: $3.2B — record year
ARR Auction Credits
$8.6B
$1.19/MWh — 72% of charges
Self-Schedule Rate
26%
DA value is 39% higher than auction — most value left on table of any market
Maximum Available Value
$24.1B
$3.33/MWh — 2.8× auction rate
Issue 2: Renewable Congestion

RT congestion driven by wind and solar generation — largely unhedged because ARR paths don't cover these sources.

PJM — Solar Driven
$416MSolar RT congestion (Jan 2023 – May 2026)

PJM's renewable congestion story is solar — the Virginia and North Carolina buildout is creating RT congestion at $13–17/MWh across hundreds of generators. No ARR paths exist for these sources. This congestion is largely unhedged and flows directly to consumers.

Sources: Congestion charges from ISO State of Market reports. Credit and renewable data from XO Energy ARR analysis platform, 8 complete planning years (Jun 2018 – May 2026). Components independently rounded.

Issue 1: Credit Gap

How much congestion is charged vs. how much is returned through existing credit tools.

Congestion Charges
$8.9B
2022: $2.2B — peak year
ARR Auction Credits
$4.9B
$0.84/MWh — 55% of charges
Self-Schedule Rate
66%
2025-2026: DA $1.23/MWh vs auction $1.00/MWh — a 23% premium, with DA and RT rates at record highs
Maximum Available Value
$12.3B
$2.11/MWh — 2.5× auction rate
Issue 2: Renewable Congestion

RT congestion driven by wind and solar generation — largely unhedged because ARR paths don't cover these sources.

MISO — Wind Belt
$2.0BWind RT congestion (Jan 2023 – May 2026)

MISO's wind fleet faces $2.0B in RT congestion since 2023, driven by generation across Minnesota, Iowa, and the Dakotas. Rates range from $5–12/MWh depending on transmission access. Legacy ARR paths don't reach these generators, so this congestion is largely unhedged.

Sources: Congestion charges from ISO State of Market reports. Credit and renewable data from XO Energy ARR analysis platform, 8 complete planning years (Jun 2018 – May 2026). Components independently rounded.

Issue 1: Credit Gap

How much congestion is charged vs. how much is returned through existing credit tools.

Congestion Charges
$10.0B
2025: $2.2B — record year
ARR Auction Credits
$6.6B
$3.38/MWh — 66% of charges
Self-Schedule Rate
≈60%
share of ARRs converted to FTRs (basis under certification) — DA is 12% above auction
Maximum Available Value
$15.5B
$7.96/MWh — 2.4× auction rate
Issue 2: Renewable Congestion

RT congestion driven by wind and solar generation — largely unhedged because ARR paths don't cover these sources.

SPP — Wind Dominates
$3.8BWind RT congestion (Jan 2023 – May 2026)

SPP has the highest renewable congestion rates in the country — Oklahoma wind alone accounts for $2.5B at ~$18/MWh, roughly two-thirds of all SPP renewable exposure. SPP does allocate ARRs to wind sources, but only on a fractional portion of output — the credit offset pales in comparison to the actual RT congestion exposure.

Sources: Congestion charges from ISO State of Market reports. Credit and renewable data from XO Energy ARR analysis platform, 8 complete planning years (Jun 2018 – May 2026). Components independently rounded.

This Problem Is Accelerating — Renewables Are the Driver

The ISOs' own Independent Market Monitors and FERC's infrastructure data tell the same story: renewable generation is the fastest-growing source of congestion, and the existing credit framework wasn't designed for it. As the generation mix continues to shift, these patterns will only intensify — and without real-time hedging tools, consumers absorb the growing cost.

MISO — Potomac Economics (IMM)

2025 State of the Market

Wind accounted for roughly 36% of MISO's real-time congestion in 2025, with wind-driven congestion up 9% year over year. On high-wind days, two-hour-ahead renewable forecast errors averaged about 1,400 MW — exceeding 5,200 MW at the extreme — widening the gap between day-ahead and real-time prices. This forecast divergence is exactly what an RT Congestion Hedge addresses.

RT Congestion Value (2025)
$2.2 billion
+22.5%
Wind-Driven Congestion
vs 2024
+9%
Wind % of RT Congestion
2025
~36%

Source: Potomac Economics, 2025 MISO State of the Market Report (June 2026).

SPP — Market Monitoring Unit

2025 State of the Market

Wind provided 37% of total SPP generation in 2025. Wind curtailments averaged 1,382 MW/hr — a tenfold increase from 137 MW/hr in 2019 — and the MMU notes shifting congestion patterns, not less wind, drove the modest decline from 2024. Congestion drove 92% of all price variation in 2024, the highest since the market launched in 2014. The MMU continues to describe the dominant congestion pattern as running along the boundary between renewable generation and load.

Source: SPP MMU, 2025 State of the Market Report; price-variation statistic from the 2024 edition.

FERC — Renewable Capacity Pipeline

2025 Energy Infrastructure Update

Renewables accounted for 88% of all new generating capacity added in 2025. Solar alone was over 72% of new additions — leading for 28 consecutive months. The 2026–2028 pipeline projects 35 GW/year of new wind and solar. Every megawatt of new renewable capacity creates congestion at nodes the existing ARR framework doesn't cover.

Source: FERC Energy Infrastructure Update, 2025 full year (April 2026).

This Problem Has Been Documented for Over a Decade

Independent market monitors, state commissions, and academic experts have identified this gap — and proposed solutions — since 2012. MISO's IMM has recommended a virtual spread product in fourteen consecutive State of the Market reports. SPP approved a product (SIR34) through its stakeholder process but implementation stalled. PJM once had a functioning product — Up-To Congestion transactions — that has since been scaled back dramatically through limited trading nodes and fees which create a significant hurdle rate.

How PJM's real-time congestion product was scaled back — and what it cost consumers

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

NYISO — New York

Analysis Complete

~20 million consumers. New York's TCCs settle on day-ahead prices only — in its Market Monitor's words (2024 State of the Market), "no TCCs are sold for real-time congestion." NYISO's own Market Issues Working Group proposed a Linked Virtual Transaction product in 2016; an IEEE academic study validated the design in 2017; NYISO abandoned it with no current initiative to revisit.

$8.3B
Hourly best-of congestion value on TCC paths, 2018 – mid-2026
$4.0B
Unrealized — beyond the reach of any TCC election (best-reachable capture: 52.2%)
$3.7B / $4.4B
Auction vs real-time value — no NYISO instrument settles the DA–RT difference
−47% → +100%+
TCC returns whipsawed — a one-tier instrument forecasting a two-settlement market
⚖️ Section 206 complaint drafted — filing to follow the September 2026 PJM/MISO/SPP lead filings. Figures are from XO Energy's TCC settlement-tier analysis; best-of values are ceilings, not damages claims. Be a supporting party on the NYISO filing →

CAISO — California

Data Coming Soon

~40 million consumers. Three companies filed formal Point-to-Point Convergence Bid comments over three consecutive years (2015–2017). CAISO's LAP-level design structurally precludes nodal congestion hedging. The DMM documented $900M in CRR auction ratepayer losses from 2012 to 2018.

What we know:
• CRR funding analysis and LAP-level hedging gap quantification underway
• Solar curtailment and RT congestion from behind-the-meter growth being compiled
• Section 206 complaint to follow PJM/MISO/SPP lead filing
📊 CRR funding data, RT congestion charges, and renewable exposure analysis will be published here when complete.

A Proven Solution

This isn't theoretical. One U.S. market already does this — and it works. We're asking FERC to bring that same protection to every electricity consumer in America.

Texas proves the two-layer congestion hedging model works — we're asking FERC to bring it everywhere

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

Why It Works

The Core Benefit

$31.9 Billion in Additional Credits

Today's ARR auctions return $20.1B against $30.8B in total congestion charges. An RT Congestion Hedge captures value at every settlement tier — up to the Maximum Available Value ceiling of $52.0B. Up to $31.9B in additional credits could flow back to consumers through the same cost-recovery process already in place.

Price Formation

DA-RT Convergence

When participants can trade the DA-RT spread, it incentivizes better price formation in both markets — and better-formed prices support fuller funding of the existing ARR and FTR credits, even without changing the ARR framework itself. The dollar case on this site rests on the settled tiers; the price-formation benefit comes on top.

Renewables

Renewable Congestion Management

$6.5B in renewable RT congestion since 2023 — and no adequately designed product exists to manage it. Wind and solar generators underbid in DA due to forecast uncertainty, creating RT congestion that legacy ARR paths can't cover. An RT Congestion Hedge at full nodal granularity gives the market the first tool to manage this growing exposure.

Track Record

Proven in ERCOT

Texas already operates this model. ERCOT's Point-to-Point Obligation product settles at full nodal granularity in real-time, is open to all market participants, supports legitimate hedging across all market sectors, and has a fee structure that incentivizes convergence.

The Natural Experiment

Texas Utilities Already Vote With Their Money

This isn't a theoretical product. ERCOT runs the complete chain today — annual CRR auction → monthly auction → day-ahead PTP → real-time settlement — with zero fees, no bid caps, and ~full funding. And it's not financial traders driving it: Texas's own utilities, municipals, and co-ops are the heaviest users, running one hedge program from years-ahead auctions all the way to real-time delivery.

93–100%
of the physical fleet's day-ahead PTP volume sits on their own CRR paths — NRG 96%, Vistra 97%, electric co-ops 93–100%. Utilities run the full chain because it works.
162%
PTP volume as a share of ERCOT load — up from 139% — while PJM's equivalent product collapsed from 57% of load to 11% after fees and caps were piled on.
$0
in fees and uplift on ERCOT's real-time congestion hedge. In 2024, PJM charged its equivalent product $38M in uplift against $0.3M of gross profit — a 127× tax.
~$1.8B/yr
in ERCOT auction revenue credited back to consumers. No free grandfathered rights — every participant, including 50-year-old municipals, pays the market price.

The instrument held up when it mattered most: through Winter Storm Uri — the worst power crisis in modern U.S. history — ERCOT's congestion hedges paid the full real-time spread, uncapped, and the CRR market stayed fully funded (its last short payment was November 2020; deration since runs ~1%). PJM's product, by contrast, can't even be submitted when expected congestion exceeds its $50/MWh bid cap — the hedge is amputated at exactly the moments it's needed most.

The jurisdictional irony: ERCOT is the one U.S. market outside FERC's Federal Power Act jurisdiction — and it's the one that got congestion hedging right. FERC doesn't need to invent anything. It needs to direct the markets it does regulate to match what Texas already proves works.

Source: XO Energy analysis of ERCOT CRR auction results, 60-day DAM disclosure, and settlement prices, Jan 2018 – Apr 2026; ERCOT and PJM State of Market reports; ERCOT Nodal Protocols; FERC dockets EL14-37 and ER18-88.

What We're Asking FERC To Do

Existing congestion revenue crediting mechanisms are unjust and unreasonable because they systematically fail to return real-time congestion value to the consumers who fund the transmission grid. The Affordable Grid Coalition is filing Section 206 complaints at FERC against each ISO/RTO to direct implementation of an RT congestion settlement tier — formally, the Day-Ahead Transmission Right ("DATR"): an instrument bid in the day-ahead market that settles against real-time congestion, modeled on ERCOT's proven design.

🎯

Real-Time Settlement

Products that settle against actual congestion — not just day-ahead forecasts.

📍

Nodal-Level Access

Hedging at all nodes available in the prompt-month auctions — so utilities, generators, and large loads can manage their actual congestion exposure.

🔓

Open Access

Supporting legitimate hedging and convergence activity across all market sectors. Competition increases efficiency.

⚖️

Fee Structure That Works

A fee structure that incentivizes convergence and supports active participation — modeled on ERCOT's proven design.

🛡️

Market Integrity

Rules that protect market integrity while preserving the product's ability to deliver consumer benefits.

📋

FERC Section 206

Directing ISOs to implement real-time congestion hedging tools through FERC's existing authority under the Federal Power Act.

Markets Affected

Lead filings in September 2026 against PJM, MISO, and SPP. The NYISO follow-on complaint is drafted; CAISO follows once data analysis is complete.

PJM
September 2026
13 states + DC
UTC destroyed; 80% volume collapse
MISO
September 2026
15 states
IMM recommended since 2012
SPP
September 2026
14 states
SIR34 approved but stalled
NYISO
Coming Soon
New York
LVT proposed 2016; abandoned
CAISO
Coming Soon
California
PtP bids requested since 2015

Who's Affected

This issue touches every corner of the electricity system. Select your role below to see how the congestion hedging gap affects you.

🏠
Consumers

You're paying billions for a problem that has a proven fix.

Every time electricity gets congested on the transmission grid, the extra cost shows up in your electric bill. Today, there's no tool to manage the gap between forecast and reality. That gap left up to $31.9 billion in congestion credits unrealized across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years — including at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value no election available today can reach — and New York's numbers are now in too, with another $4.0 billion unrealized there — beyond the reach of any TCC election.

Think of it this way: imagine if your car insurance only covered accidents predicted the night before. Any accident they didn't forecast? That's on you. That's how electricity congestion works today.

The solution already works in Texas, whose congestion-hedge market has run near-fully funded for years. We're asking for the same protection in every U.S. electricity market.

⚖️
Consumer Advocates

The largest hidden cost on consumer electric bills.

Congestion costs are embedded in every retail electric bill through automatic cost-recovery riders. Utilities have zero financial exposure. The cost of not having real-time hedging: at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value beyond today's credits across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years — plus $4.0 billion unrealized in NYISO, with CAISO analysis underway. When measured against what optimal real-time hedging tools could have captured, the total value left on the table reaches $31.9 billion.

We are filing Section 206 complaints at FERC. Consumer advocates can amplify this by filing supporting comments, issuing public statements, and educating state regulators about how these hidden costs affect their communities.

🏛️
State PUC Commissioners

Your ratepayers are absorbing billions in unhedged congestion.

Every state provides utilities with automatic cost-tracking riders that guarantee full recovery of wholesale market charges. OPSI's Resolution FTR-2016-4 found only 45% of PJM congestion was returned to consumers — a $983 million shortfall in one year.

The utilities subject to your oversight bear zero financial risk from congestion. State commissions can take action by filing comments supporting the Section 206 complaints, examining whether cost-tracking riders should credit customers for hedging savings, and directing utilities to report on congestion cost exposure.

🔍
Attorneys General

Consumers are paying billions with no recourse or transparency.

Electricity congestion charges are buried in complex wholesale settlements and passed to retail customers via automatic mechanisms. No consumer-facing disclosure, no opt-out, no recourse. The cost of not having real-time hedging tools reaches at least $8.2 billion of settled real-time value across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years (plus $4.0 billion unrealized in NYISO; CAISO forthcoming), with up to $31.9 billion in total value left on the table.

AGs can support consumer protection by investigating whether utilities meet prudent cost management obligations, filing amicus briefs at FERC, and advocating for transparency in how congestion costs are passed through.

Trade Organizations

Incomplete congestion hedging tools limit competition and raise costs.

Organizations like EPSA and EEI represent companies directly affected by the absence of RT congestion hedging. MISO's IMM has recommended a spread product since 2012 — fourteen consecutive years. SPP approved one but implementation stalled. PJM's UTC has been scaled back significantly. NYISO and CAISO proposals were abandoned.

An RT Congestion Hedge benefits all market sectors — financial and physical participants alike. Trade organizations can support by endorsing the Section 206 filings, mobilizing members to file FERC comments, and educating policymakers on the consumer and market efficiency benefits.

🗳️
ISO State Representatives

Your constituents bear the cost — but have limited voice in the process.

State advocates participate in ISO governance through OPSI, OMS, and the RSC. These bodies have identified congestion hedging shortfalls as priorities — OPSI documented $1.5B over two years; SPP's RSC flagged 83% TCR funding vs 90% target.

Despite these documented concerns, implementation has not followed. State representatives can reaffirm prior resolutions, file coordinated FERC comments supporting the Section 206 complaints, and engage ISO management on prioritizing real-time congestion hedging tools.

🏢
FERC Staff

A decade of documented recommendations without implementation.

Independent Market Monitors have recommended RT congestion hedging products for over a decade. MISO's IMM has recommended a spread product since 2012 — fourteen consecutive years. SPP approved one through its stakeholder process but implementation stalled. PJM's UTC product has been scaled back dramatically through limited trading nodes and fees which create a significant hurdle rate. NYISO and CAISO proposals were abandoned.

ISO State of Market reports document $30.8B in congestion charges against $20.1B in credits returned. The RT value alone — $8.2B beyond current tools — represents documented consumer harm. ERCOT demonstrates the remedy works. The Commission has authority under Section 206 to direct implementation and be prescriptive about settlement, fees, and market rules.

🌱
Renewable Developers

$6.5 billion in largely unhedged RT congestion since 2023 — and growing.

Since January 2023, renewable generators have faced over $6.5 billion in real-time congestion across SPP, MISO, and PJM. This exposure is largely unhedged because legacy ARR paths don't cover these sources. The problem varies dramatically by region and fuel type.

In SPP, wind is the story: Oklahoma wind generators alone face $2.5 billion in RT congestion at ~$18/MWh. SPP does allocate ARRs to wind sources, but only on a fractional portion of output — the credit offset pales in comparison to the actual exposure.

In MISO, wind drives $2.0 billion in RT congestion across Minnesota, Iowa, and the Dakotas, with rates ranging from $5–12/MWh depending on transmission access.

In PJM, solar is the growing story: the Virginia/North Carolina buildout faces $13–17/MWh in RT congestion. As interconnection queues add tens of GW of new solar, this exposure will compound.

An RT Congestion Hedge at full nodal granularity would give renewable developers the ability to manage actual exposure for the first time — improving project economics, reducing financing costs, and supporting the clean energy transition.

🖥️
Data Centers & Large Loads

The world's largest data center market can't hedge its congestion.

Northern Virginia hosts the world's largest data center concentration — and these facilities can't hedge nodal congestion under current rules. PJM's legacy tools are restricted to aggregated load zones.

As AI and cloud computing drive unprecedented load growth, real-time congestion hedging with full nodal settlement would let data centers manage their actual costs instead of socializing them across all ratepayers in their zone.

🤝
Munis & Cooperatives

Your members deserve the same protections available in Texas.

Unlike IOUs, munis and coops don't have automatic cost-recovery mechanisms. Congestion cost spikes hit your balance sheet and customers directly. ERCOT's municipal and cooperative participants already benefit from these tools.

Munis and coops can support by signing the coalition letter, filing FERC comments describing community impact, and engaging state representatives at ISO governance bodies.

See What Your State Could Gain

Congestion credits aren't abstract — they flow (or fail to flow) to consumers state by state. Select your state to see how much more a real-time congestion hedge could return to your consumers, and download a customized brief with charts, data, and recommended actions for your state commission.

$52.0BPotential credits with an optimal RT hedge
$20.1BWhat today's ARR process returns
28 statesCustom briefs ready to download
Additional credits beyond current auctions — PJM states
1
Virginia
$4.2B
2
Pennsylvania
$4.2B
3
West Virginia
$1.6B
4
Illinois
$1.2B
5
Ohio
$1.2B
6
Delaware
$560M
7
Maryland
$546M
8
New Jersey
$531M
9
Michigan
$336M
10
Indiana
$325M
11
North Carolina
$210M
12
Kentucky
$91M
All PJM states
Pennsylvania
Virginia
West Virginia
Illinois
Ohio
Delaware
Maryland
New Jersey
Michigan
Indiana
North Carolina
Kentucky
Tennessee
District of Columbia

Source: ARR credit analysis, Jun 2018 – May 2026 (8 complete planning years), source-state allocation. "Additional credits" = Maximum Available Value minus what current auctions return. Per-household figures divide the state's total additional credits — all customer classes, since commercial and industrial congestion costs also reach households through the prices of goods and services — by its residential electricity accounts (EIA-861, 2024), cumulative over the 8 planning years. For states only partially inside a market, the per-affected-household figure is higher.

Your state's numbers make the case. Now put them to work.

Send your state's brief to your PUC commissioners, or add your organization's voice to the Section 206 complaint at FERC. The Take Action page has contact lookup for every state and the sign-on form.

The Section 206 Complaint Is Filing in September 2026. Add Your Voice.

We are filing formal complaints at FERC asking that PJM, MISO, SPP, NYISO, and CAISO implement real-time congestion hedging tools. State commissions, consumer advocates, and market participants can sign on as co-complainants or supporting parties. Sign-on is open now ahead of the September 2026 filing.

30 seconds on why your voice matters — sign onto the Section 206 complaint today

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

📊
See What Your State Could Gain
State-by-state congestion data, rankings, and downloadable briefs for your state commission
Explore your state →
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Sign Onto the Section 206 Complaint

The Affordable Grid Coalition is filing Section 206 complaints at FERC against PJM, MISO, SPP, NYISO, and CAISO alleging the absence of real-time congestion hedging products is unjust, unreasonable, and unduly discriminatory to consumers. The proposed remedy is the Day-Ahead Transmission Right ("DATR") — bid day-ahead, settled against real-time congestion.

Organizations that sign on will be named as supporting parties in the complaint filing. This is a stronger level of commitment than the general coalition — your organization is formally supporting the legal action at FERC.

Who should sign on?
Market ParticipantsConsumer Advocacy OrgsState Attorneys GeneralTrade AssociationsMunicipal UtilitiesElectric CooperativesRenewable DevelopersData Centers & Large LoadsState PUC CommissionersAcademic Institutions
Organization Information

Privacy: information submitted here is used solely to administer coalition sign-ons and filing-related communications, is shared only with the Coalition and its counsel, and is never sold or used for unrelated marketing. Signing on asks FERC to investigate; it creates no financial obligation, and you may withdraw before filing by emailing legal@affordablegrid.org.

Questions about the complaint or what signing on entails? Contact General Counsel at legal@affordablegrid.org

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Join the Coalition

Sign our general support letter to show you stand with the movement for real-time congestion hedging. Open to individuals, organizations, and anyone who believes electricity markets should work for consumers. Organizations wanting to formally sign onto the FERC complaint can do so in the Section 206 form above.

Privacy: information submitted here is used solely for coalition communications, is shared only with the Coalition and its counsel, and is never sold or used for unrelated marketing.

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Email us directly
info@affordablegrid.org
Why contact regulators?

State PUC commissioners oversee the utilities that pass congestion costs to you. Attorneys General can investigate consumer protection failures. Both can file supporting comments at FERC. Use the lookup tools below to find your state contacts.

How the Federal Power Act gives you the right to challenge broken electricity market rules at FERC

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

Five concrete actions PUC commissioners and Attorneys General can take right now

These explainer videos were produced in spring 2026, before our final figures were confirmed. A few on-screen numbers are early estimates — the current, certified figures are the ones shown on this page.

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Find Your State PUC Commissioners

Select your state to see commissioners and contact information

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Find Your Attorney General & Consumer Advocates

Select your state to see AG offices and consumer advocacy organizations

📄 Download Educational Materials

Share these resources with colleagues, regulators, and community members.

Executive One-Pager
PDF
Single-page brief for decision-makers — the problem, scale, and ask
Download →
Consumer Fact Sheet
PDF
Plain-language overview with key stats and actions
Download →
PUC Commissioner Brief
PDF
Credit side, charge side, riders, and recommended actions
Download →
ISO-by-ISO Data Summary
PDF
Market-by-market funding gaps and renewable exposure
Download →
Section 206 Overview
PDF
Legal framework, four-part argument, and prescriptive remedy
Download →
ERCOT Model Brief
PDF
How Texas achieves consistently full CRR funding
Download →
Coalition Support Letter
DOCX
Editable template letter for organizations
Download →
LEI Report: PJM ARR/FTR Review
PDF
London Economics — $523M–$1.2B/yr consumer benefits from FTR markets (mirrored; original published via PJM, Oct 2021)
Download →
LEI Report: MISO ARR/FTR Evaluation
PDF
London Economics — Independent evaluation of MISO's ARR/FTR construct (mirrored; original published via MISO, Jan 2023)
Download →

Glossary of Terms

Plain-language definitions of the energy market terms used throughout this site.

Congestion

When too much electricity tries to flow through a bottleneck on the transmission grid, prices increase at that location. The extra cost is called congestion. Think of it like a toll that increases during rush hour.

ARR (Auction Revenue Right)

A financial credit allocated to utilities based on their historical use of the transmission grid. ARRs give utilities the revenue from FTR auctions, which partially offsets congestion costs. Think of it as a rebate check based on last year's toll road usage.

FTR (Financial Transmission Right)

A financial contract that pays the holder based on the difference in day-ahead electricity prices between two points on the grid. Utilities can convert their ARRs into FTRs to potentially earn more, but they take on risk.

Self-Scheduling

When a utility converts its free ARR allocation into an FTR. Instead of receiving the auction clearing price, the utility receives the day-ahead congestion value — which may be higher or lower.

Day-Ahead (DA) Market

The electricity market that runs one day before real-time delivery. Generators and utilities submit bids and offers, and prices are set for each hour of the next day. It's like booking a hotel room in advance.

Real-Time (RT) Market

The electricity market that runs in real-time (every 5 minutes). Prices reflect actual grid conditions. It's like the walk-in rate at a hotel — often different from what you booked.

Maximum Available Value (MAV)

The higher of the day-ahead or real-time congestion value for each hour. This represents what a perfect hedging tool would capture — always picking the best price. It's the theoretical maximum, and always a ceiling — never a damages figure. (Earlier materials called this Lost Opportunity Cost, or LOC.)

Real-Time (RT) Congestion Hedge / Day-Ahead Transmission Right (DATR)

A product that allows market participants to manage the difference between day-ahead and real-time congestion. The Coalition's FERC complaints formally title it the Day-Ahead Transmission Right (DATR): bid in the day-ahead market, settled against real-time congestion. Different markets have used different names: Point-to-Point Obligation (ERCOT), Up-To Congestion/UTC (PJM), Spread Bid (MISO proposal), RT Congestion Hedge (SPP proposal), and Linked Virtual Transaction/LVT (NYISO proposal). ERCOT's version is the only one fully operational today.

Settlement Tier

The price at which a congestion instrument pays out. Today's credits settle at either the auction clearing price (the default) or day-ahead congestion prices (if converted to an FTR). No tier settles at real-time prices in PJM, MISO, SPP, or NYISO — that missing third tier is what the Coalition's complaints ask FERC to create.

Node / Nodal

A specific location on the grid where prices are calculated — a generator, substation, or delivery point. There are thousands of nodes in each market. 'Nodal granularity' means being able to hedge congestion at the specific locations where it actually occurs, rather than only at broad zone averages.

Fuel Adjustment Clause (FAC)

A state-regulated mechanism that allows utilities to pass through fuel and purchased power costs (including congestion charges) to ratepayers, usually without a full rate case. Different states call it different things: FAC, PSCR, FCA, EAC, Rider HSS.

Section 206 Complaint

A legal mechanism under the Federal Power Act that allows any party to ask FERC to investigate whether existing rates, charges, or practices are unjust, unreasonable, or unduly discriminatory. Our complaint: existing congestion revenue crediting mechanisms systematically fail to return real-time congestion value to the consumers who fund the transmission grid. If FERC agrees, the ISO must implement a remedy.

ISO (Independent System Operator)

The entity that operates the electric grid and runs the wholesale electricity market for a region. PJM, MISO, SPP, ERCOT, NYISO, and CAISO are the major U.S. ISOs.

IMM (Independent Market Monitor)

A third-party watchdog appointed to monitor each ISO's markets for fairness and efficiency. The IMM publishes annual State of the Market reports with findings and recommendations.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about the coalition, the complaint, and real-time congestion hedging.

Who is behind the Affordable Grid Coalition?
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The coalition was organized by energy market professionals with over a decade of experience in congestion revenue analysis across U.S. wholesale electricity markets. Quantitative analysis covering PJM, MISO, SPP, and NYISO is complete, with CAISO analysis underway. Data analysis is provided by XO Energy, LLC. The coalition is open to all parties who share the goal of bringing real-time congestion hedging to consumers.

How does an RT Congestion Hedge benefit consumers?
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The benefits work on multiple levels. First, it grows the total pool of congestion credits returned to consumers — capturing RT value that no existing product reaches. Second, it improves DA-RT price convergence, which makes existing ARR and FTR credits more valuable even without changing the ARR framework. Third, it provides the first tool to manage renewable-driven RT congestion, which is currently largely unhedged and flowing directly to consumer bills. Independent studies, including analysis by London Economics International, have found that active participation in congestion markets generates significant consumer savings through improved price formation.

Why hasn't this been implemented already?
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Independent Market Monitors have recommended these products for over a decade. MISO's IMM has recommended a spread product since 2012 — fourteen consecutive years. SPP approved one (SIR34) through its stakeholder process but implementation stalled. PJM once had a functioning product — Up-To Congestion — that has since been scaled back. The challenge is that utilities recover congestion costs automatically through state-regulated fuel adjustment clauses, so the financial incentive to advocate for better hedging tools is limited. A FERC Section 206 complaint provides a path forward under existing authority.

What happens if I sign on to the Section 206 complaint?
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Your organization would be listed as a co-complainant or supporting party in a formal filing at FERC. As a signatory, you are asking FERC to investigate — you are not committing to any financial obligation or ongoing participation beyond the filing itself.

Does this require new legislation?
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No. FERC already has authority under Section 206 of the Federal Power Act to investigate market design deficiencies and order changes. The solution already exists in ERCOT and has been demonstrated to work. This is a market design reform that FERC can order under existing authority.

How does this affect renewable energy development?
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The impact is enormous and varies by region. Since January 2023, renewable generators have faced over $6.5 billion in unhedged real-time congestion. In SPP, wind is the dominant driver — Oklahoma wind farms pay roughly $18/MWh in RT congestion, meaning a 200 MW wind farm loses roughly $8–9 million per year. In MISO, Minnesota and Iowa wind account for $1.8 billion combined. In PJM, solar is the growing story — Virginia and North Carolina solar generators face $13–17/MWh in RT congestion through the DOM zone. This exposure is largely unhedged because legacy ARR paths don't cover these sources. An RT Congestion Hedge would give renewable developers tools to manage actual congestion risk for the first time, reducing financing costs and improving project economics.

What about the $31.9 billion figure — is that real money consumers lost?
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The $31.9 billion represents the difference between what consumers actually received through auction-based credits ($20.1 billion) and what an RT Congestion Hedge would have captured ($52.0 billion) across PJM, MISO, and SPP over 8 planning years. The more conservative figure — $8.2 billion — represents the gap between auction-based credits and real-time settlement alone. These figures cover PJM, MISO, and SPP only. NYISO's analysis is complete — another $8.3 billion of best-of congestion value on its TCC paths, $4.0 billion of it beyond the reach of any election available today, not yet included in these totals — and CAISO is underway.

What is ERCOT doing differently?
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ERCOT operates a Point-to-Point (PTP) Obligation product that settles against real-time congestion at full nodal granularity. It is open to all market participants, supports hedging across all market sectors, and has a fee structure that incentivizes DA-RT convergence. The product has been operational for years and consistently delivers higher congestion credit returns to consumers. The Affordable Grid Coalition is asking FERC to direct PJM, MISO, and SPP to implement products modeled on this proven design.

How do congestion costs end up on my electric bill?
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Utilities pay congestion charges through the wholesale electricity market. These costs are then passed directly to consumers through state-regulated cost-recovery mechanisms — typically called fuel adjustment clauses, purchased power cost riders, or energy adjustment charges. The specific name varies by state, but the effect is the same: congestion charges flow through to your bill automatically, usually without a full rate case. Because utilities are made whole through these mechanisms, they bear no financial risk from congestion — which means the incentive to advocate for better hedging tools is limited.

What is DA-RT convergence and why does it matter?
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Day-ahead (DA) prices are set a day before delivery based on forecasts. Real-time (RT) prices reflect what actually happens on the grid. When these two diverge — which happens more frequently as renewable generation increases — consumers lose. The existing ARR/FTR credit system is based on DA prices, so when DA underestimates actual congestion, credits come back lower than what was actually charged. An RT Congestion Hedge incentivizes participants to trade the DA-RT spread, which pushes these prices closer together. Better convergence means existing ARR and FTR credits become more valuable — a benefit that flows directly to consumers without changing the ARR framework at all.

Is this the same as virtual trading?
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An RT Congestion Hedge is a spread product — it manages congestion between two points on the grid, similar to how FTRs work in the day-ahead market. Like FTR auctions, both financial and physical participants provide value. Financial participants add liquidity, improve price discovery, and drive DA-RT convergence. Physical participants — utilities, generators, and large loads — use the same products to manage actual congestion exposure. The London Economics study and other independent research document significant consumer benefits when both types of participants are active. The immediate benefit is returning more credits to consumers, but the broader gains in market efficiency and price formation are well established.